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Press Kit

Why is this important

Backgrounder

Interview Questions

Related Experts and Sources

Press Releases


Mutual Fund
Newsletter

Mutual Fund
Model Portfolio
Return Since Inception
165.0%

Aggressive
Portfolio Return Since Inception
288.1%

Market Return
48.3%

Stock Newsletter

Winning Stocks for 2007

+51.8%

Winning Stocks for 2006

+5.6%

Winning Stocks for 2005

+19.8%

Winning Stocks for 2004

+32.5%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Contact: Eric Dany
Tel: 866-541-5299 (toll free)
Moline, IL  CST


Website: www.prospectornewsletters.com

Press Releases

2 Jan 2008

Moline Financial Newsletter Publisher Hits Pay Dirt While Others Pan Fool’s Gold

Eric Dany Consistently Finds the Market's ‘Nuggets’

 

When the talk around the typical office water cooler turns to the stock market and investing, most faces grow long. For them, investing during the last several years has not been fun. 

So, why is Eric W. Dany of Moline, Ill., smiling confidently? And why has he been smiling so long?

It’s no surprise to his friends and the subscribers of his newsletters.  The Stock Prospector and Mutual Fund Prospector have outperformed the market the last seven years, putting Dany among a handful of other publishers whose newsletters can point with pride to their picks. And, Dany has another reason to smile: the newsletter owner and publisher said his personal investing follows his own strategy.

"The Stock Prospector and Mutual Fund Prospector both had good years. Since inception both the Stock Prospector and Mutual Fund Prospector have racked up solid gains for our subscribers.

My annual Winning Stocks special report picks have trounced the market since 2004. In 2007 our Winning Stock picks knocked the ball right out of the park with a stunning 51.8% average return. That's a huge win when you consider the Dow was up only 6.4%.

Dany says his secret to success is finding under-valued stocks and then holding them for substantial gains. He adds that "Most investors don't have enough patience."  

 “My mutual fund model-portfolio, since inception in 1999, has returned 165.0%, beating the market in eight out of the last nine calendar years. For the same time, the market return was a gain of 48.3%, yes…that is +165.0% versus 48.3%. Even better was the nine  year return of the aggressive portfolio...it has gained +288.1% since inception.”

To what does he attribute his success while others were stumbling? Dany credits his strategy that selects better performing equity styles along with index funds. The strategy does not involve dart-throwing.

“My mutual fund investment strategy combines a market index fund and equity style timing of actively managed funds,” he said.  “The index fund provides stability during uncertain times and equity style timing selects funds in the the better performing style trends in the market, giving the portfolio the opportunity to outperform the market.

“The experts say equity style timing won’t work, however I think the market has given my strategy a very challenging test during the last seven tumultuous years and the results have been positive. However, I realize seven years is a short time to measure investment performance so my work remains a work in progress.” 

   Dany is pleased with response to his strategy. One investor/subscriber, William P. of Pittsburgh, Pa., wrote this to Dany: “You helped me when the market was going up and saved me when the market went down. Another 20% staying in growth would have been a $150,000 loss.”

News Highlights

Prospector Readers Prosper!

Outperforming the Market

  • The Stock Prospector Winning Stocks for 2007 recommendations trounced the market with an average return of 51.8%, outperforming the market's 5.5% return.
     

  • Since 2004 the Stock Prospector Winning Stocks  recommendations have outperformed the market by more than 3-to-1.
     

  • The Mutual Fund Prospector newsletter trounced the market averages over the last nine calendar years. Tough times for most investors.

  • The Model Portfolio's nine year return was 165.0% versus the market's 48.3% gain.

  • The aggressive portfolio which is simply the actively managed funds in the model portfolio returned 288.1% vs 48.3% for the market.

  • The Hulbert Digest tracks the Prospector Newsletters

Why is this important?

  • Important because: Outperforming the market by 116.7% with a balanced portfolio is rare and by 239.8% with a portfolio of actively managed funds is world-class performance! 

That's outperforming the market by 7.0% and 11.8% annually. For perspective, Peter Lynch, legendary manager of Fidelity Magellan, outperformed the market by 13.4% annually over the 13 years he managed the fund.

Source – Fidelity Press Staff

For more information see the article:
Peter Lynch and Earnings
Mutual Fund Prospector - December 1999
(PDF File)

  • Important because: Unique investment strategy proves it works.

The mutual fund investment strategy combines a market index fund and equity style timing of actively managed funds. 

Reviews of financial literature do not find these strategies combined

The index fund provides stability during uncertain times and equity style timing selects the better performing style trends in the market giving the portfolio the opportunity to outperform the market.

Equity style timing identifies the better performing style trends in the market and top performing funds in the styles.

Equity styles are based on market size (large, mid and small capitalization) and financial fundamentals (growth or value) - Similar to the Morningstar Style Boxes - ie. large cap value style

  • Important because: It is very difficult to consistently  outperform the market.

Between 1974 and 1998 the S&P 500 Index outperformed more than 75% of the public equity mutual funds. The annual return for the S&P 500 was close to 2% better than that of the median fund.

Source - Burton Malkiel – A Random Walk Down Wall Street pg 374.

 

Backgrounder

  • Index funds are mutual funds that hold the stocks in the same proportions as the index they are designed to track.

There are many benefits to index funds, they outperform 80% of mutual funds over the long term, they typically have low managerial fees and they are tax efficient.

Equity style timing is an investment strategy that invests in various market styles, switching between equity styles as market conditions change.

  • Eric Dany says "I have not been able to find many references in financial literature about equity style timing." Information from Duen-Li Kao and Robert Shumaker’s study, "Equity Style Timing" appeared the Jan/Feb 1999 issue of the Financial Analysts Journal.

For more information see the article:
Academic Alley – Equity Style Timing   
Mutual Fund Prospector August 1999 
(PDF File)

  • Actual Model Portfolio Returns

    Year MFP Market
    1999-2007 165.0% 48.3%
    Annualized 11.4% 4.5%
    2007 13.4% 5.5%  
    2006 14.6% 15.5%
    2005 13.3% 6.0%
    2004 10.7% 12.5%
    2003 39.6% 31.4%
    2002 -19.8% -21.0%
    2001 1.1% -11.3%
    2000 -5.1% -10.6%
    1999 52.1% 23.8%  
           

Special Report Available

  • Special Report on Mutual Fund Prospector's Investment Strategy - 8 pages

Detailed explanation of investment strategy includes Peter Lynch and Academic Alley - Equity Style Timing articles  (PDF File) 

View Special Report  


Bio of Eric W. Dany

  • Eric Dany is 60 years old and has been investing for over 30 years. He has a BSME from Rose-Hulman Institute of Technology (1969) and MBA from the University of Florida (1979).

Interview Questions

  • What are index funds?

  • What are equity styles?

  • What is equity style timing?

  • How do you track equity styles?

  • How do you select the portfolio’s actively managed funds?

  • How do you forecast the market’s direction?


Related Experts and Sources

Hulbert Financial Digest, Mark Hulbert, Editor
5051-B Backlick Rd
Annandale, VA 22003

866-428-6568
Hfd@hulbertdigest.com

www.hulbertdigest.com

John C. Bogle, Senior Chairman Vanguard Group
Vanguard Group
PO Box 1110
Valley Forge, PA 19482-1110

800-871-3879

Author of

Bogle on Mutual Funds
Common Sense on Mutual Funds

Burton G. Malkiel, Professor of Economics
Princeton University
Princeton, NJ 08544

609-258-3000

Author of
A Random Walk Down Wall Street


Contact: Eric Dany
Tel: 866-541-5299
Moline, IL  CST


Website: www.prospectornewsletters.com

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