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Peter Lynch
and Earnings Peter Lynch is correct when he says earnings drive the market. Third quarter earnings were substantially better (+23%) than last year. As the market shrugged off interest rate jitters and inflation concerns, investors saw these terrific earnings and jumped back into the market with vengeance. The May-October market correction was soon history as the broad market averages quickly returned to their prior range. As a result of this strong market action, it looks like 1999 will go into the record books as another terrific year for the market. If the market finishes the year with a double digit return, it will mark five years in a row of double digit returns...quite an accomplishment! The Prospector is quite pleased with the model portfolios 35.2% ytd return and hopefully readers following the Prospectors investment strategy have experienced similar above market average returns. Lynchs Record As manager of Fidelitys flagship Magellan Fund, Peter Lynch produced an enviable performance record. During the 13 years of Lynchs watch, he posted a 29.2% average annual return, outperforming the market by over 13.4% annually. Thats quite a feat considering the Magellan fund grew from $20 million in 1977 to over $14 billion in 1990. How did Lynch accomplish this remarkable record? From reading his books it appears he has a great mind for business and excellent intuition. In addition, I also believe Magellans flexible investment charter contributed significantly to his success. He wasnt bound by a market cap or style restriction and he could invest anywhere he found opportunities. Sure, he had lots of analysts and support, but in the end, he relied on common sense, intuition and strong company earnings. Rigid Charters & Fixed Allocations I believe the ability to invest in any
market cap or use any valuation style gives fund managers a better opportunity to
capitalize on their stock picking skills. Funds with rigid charters are often restricted
to invest in narrow market segments. If a sector is out of vogue and under performs for
extended periods of time, as value style has most recently, these managers, their funds
and investors take it on the chin. Stay flexible and follow the Nuggets! |